Robert S. Ross:The Rise of China and American Security Policy(需报名)
The rise of China’s economy and its defense capabilities present the United States with a regional power transition that challenges the foundation of American security in post-World War II East Asia. The United States has enjoyed East Asian maritime hegemony since World War II, including 30 years of post-Cold War unipolarity. It now resists the consequences of the U.S.-China power transition for American security and for American defense policy.
U.S. resistance to decline is reflected in its reliance on naval and air presence operations in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait to maintain its reputation for resolve and thus reassure its security partners of its commitment to their defense. It is also reflected in its effort to enhance alliance cooperation with South Korea and the Philippines. U.S. trade policy and technology policy similarly reflect U.S. efforts to maintain the post-Cold War status quo of comprehensive U.S. global leadership.
But the United States simultaneously carries out strategic retrenchment from East Asia. The Pentagon’s Indo-Pacific Strategy is a strategic adjustment to reduced relative U.S. capabilities inside East Asia and uncertain alliance cooperation with new and expanded security partnerships and greater access to air and naval facilities with countries throughout the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific. This defense strategy contributes to a U.S. anti-access/access denial (A2/AD) capability that can contain the Chinese Navy within East Asia and constrain its access to the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific.
The combination of U.S. resistance to the rise of China and its simultaneous retrenchment from East Asian waters has implications for both the regional security order and for US-China relations. (报名方式见文末)